AYL vs Maziya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AYL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CVA
3 - 1
AYL
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 2
AYL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VSC
0 - 0
AYL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
VBA
2 - 3
AYL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
MAZ
0 - 0
AYL
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Maziya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
VSC
3 - 1
MAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VBA
4 - 0
MAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 2
MAZ
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 3
MAZ
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
MAZ
0 - 0
AYL
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |