Ayia Napa vs Olympiada Lympion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
6º
8
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
XYL
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
DYP
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
AYI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYI
3 - 3
PAE
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AYI
0 - 1
ANA
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Olympiada Lympion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 0
PAE
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
XYL
2 - 2
OLY
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DYP
4 - 1
OLY
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 4
ANA
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 0
OLY
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |