Ayia Napa vs Alki Oroklini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
6º
6º
0
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 0
AYI
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AYI
2 - 0
OLY
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
XYL
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 0
DYP
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
AYI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alki Oroklini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 8
DYP
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
ALK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 3
DYP
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
8 - 1
ALK
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |