Ayerbe vs Almudevar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AYE
4 - 2
BOL
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AYE
2 - 1
SJO
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 5
AYE
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AYE
1 - 4
AGU
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AIN
1 - 2
AYE
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 0
AIN
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
POS
2 - 0
ALM
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 0
ALM
50%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 4
ALM
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 5
SOD
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |