Ayer Hayl vs Harar Birra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayer Hayl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DED
4 - 0
AYE
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AYE
0 - 1
SIB
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AYE
0 - 2
AWK
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
AYE
0 - 1
KGI
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AYE
1 - 2
AMK
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Harar Birra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
AWK
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AMK
0 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
ETB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
ENB
1 - 0
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |