Ayamonte vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
AYA
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 1
ANT
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 2
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 2
POZ
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
AYA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
SRO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
SEV
25%
25%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
REC
40%
26%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |