Ayamonte vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
MON
2 - 1
AYA
36%
29%
35%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AYA
2 - 0
VVA
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
JER
0 - 0
AYA
46%
28%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
AYA
2 - 0
RLI
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
UDT
1 - 1
AYA
26%
29%
45%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CRD
0 - 0
LUC
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
MON
51%
27%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |