Ayamonte vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
UDS
0 - 2
AYA
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
AYA
3 - 0
SCF
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BET
2 - 0
AYA
69%
20%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
AYA
0 - 2
POZ
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 2
AYA
34%
28%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
REC
1 - 3
LUC
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
UDS
46%
26%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SCF
1 - 1
LUC
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
LUC
1 - 0
BET
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
POZ
0 - 0
LUC
39%
27%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |