Ayamonte vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
16º
13º
48
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
AYA
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 0
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 1
AYA
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AYA
0 - 1
ANT
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
AYA
48%
25%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 3
SEV
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COR
0 - 3
CDA
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 0
CIS
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
0 - 0
CDA
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 2
XER
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |