Ayamonte vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SRQ
2 - 0
AYA
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ASJ
2 - 0
AYA
70%
19%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 2
CEU
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 3
CAD
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
AYA
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
CEU
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAB
42%
24%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 0
ALC
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |