Ayamonte vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
REC
5 - 1
AYA
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 1
AYA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
5 - 2
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
AYA
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SRO
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 3
SEV
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
CRD
68%
21%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
REC
2 - 2
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |