AWC vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AWC
3 - 1
DEV
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AWC
1 - 3
TIE
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 0
AWC
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AWC
0 - 3
BAR
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DOS
0 - 3
AWC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
2 - 1
DOS
52%
21%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
5 - 0
DEU
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 4
OSS
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OSS
6 - 1
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TIE
0 - 4
OSS
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |