AWC vs AFC Arhem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AWC
0 - 4
BEM
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RHE
5 - 1
AWC
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RIG
2 - 1
AWC
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AWC
1 - 1
LUC
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HOO
0 - 1
AWC
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARH
2 - 3
LUC
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 2
ARH
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HOO
1 - 2
ARH
29%
23%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARH
2 - 0
SIL
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARH
1 - 1
GER
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |