Columbia vs Woezik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
8º
12º
12º
33
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
86% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TOP
4 - 3
AVV
73%
15%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AVV
0 - 1
SDO
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVL
3 - 2
AVV
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVV
1 - 3
MAS
55%
20%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WSV
2 - 1
AVV
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEB
1 - 0
WOE
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WOE
2 - 0
TOP
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SDO
0 - 3
WOE
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WOE
0 - 2
SVL
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
2 - 1
WOE
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |