Columbia vs Winterswijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VOO
1 - 2
AVV
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AVV
4 - 0
VOO
66%
17%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEM
5 - 2
AVV
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAS
1 - 1
AVV
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AVV
0 - 2
SVD
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Winterswijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCW
0 - 1
DEB
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BVC
3 - 0
FCW
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROH
3 - 1
FCW
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 0
FCW
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FCW
3 - 2
BEM
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |