Avtodor vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avtodor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
KRD
2 - 2
AVV
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ENE
2 - 1
AVV
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
AVV
2 - 1
NKS
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
DMA
1 - 1
AVV
68%
20%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AVV
0 - 1
SUA
42%
28%
31%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
AST
0 - 2
NKS
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
DMA
1 - 0
AST
58%
24%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
AST
2 - 1
SUA
41%
28%
32%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
SOC
2 - 2
AST
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AST
1 - 5
FCO
21%
26%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |