FA Cup Previa 2
Global 2-5
Avro vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
IRL
63%
19%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AFC
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 3
AFC
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 2
AFC
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
PAD
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 1
RUN
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 0
WID
76%
14%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
RUN
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 9
HAR
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |