Avranches vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 0
AVR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 0
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
RED
2 - 0
AVR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CON
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 2
VIL
7%
16%
76%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
STL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
GAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |