Avranches vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 2
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 0
AVR
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 0
FLE
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
STR
0 - 2
CLE
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
STR
4 - 2
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
STR
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
STR
3 - 2
ORL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
TRO
4 - 0
STR
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |