Avranches vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 2
AVR
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 0
USB
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 3
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
AVR
0 - 1
STL
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SED
2 - 0
AVR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
RED
4 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
FBB
2 - 2
RED
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
RED
0 - 1
VIL
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ANN
6 - 0
RED
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
RED
1 - 0
ORL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |