Avranches vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
AVR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
USB
1 - 0
AVR
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 0
AVR
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 1
AVR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
GAZ
0 - 0
RED
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RED
2 - 0
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
RED
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
AUX
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
PAU
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |