Avranches vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AVR
6 - 1
LES
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 12 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 3
AVR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
AVR
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 0
LPS
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 1
AVR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NLM
1 - 2
RED
8%
16%
77%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
RED
1 - 2
STR
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
LPS
0 - 3
RED
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
CAB
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
RED
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |