Avranches vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 4
PSG
7%
18%
75%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
LES
1 - 1
AVR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 2
LYO
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 0
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
AVR
4 - 1
SPI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 0
LUS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
CAB
1 - 1
QUE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
4 - 2
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
USB
2 - 2
QUE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SPI
1 - 2
QUE
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |