Avranches vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 3
AVR
30%
26%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AVR
3 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
AVR
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AVR
1 - 0
NAN
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 2
AVR
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VCH
2 - 2
PON
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
TRE
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PON
3 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |