Avranches vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
USB
2 - 0
AVR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
AVR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 3
AMI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 3
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
3 - 2
USB
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
LUC
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |