Avranches vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 2
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 1
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
IST
2 - 1
AVR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 1
DUN
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
RED
2 - 1
AVR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 3
STR
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
LPS
0 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAB
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 1
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |