Avranches vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
AVR
4 - 1
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
AVR
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
AVR
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 4
RED
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
MET
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GIR
3 - 2
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |