Avranches vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
AVR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
AVR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AVR
3 - 0
VCH
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 1
AVR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
AVR
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
IST
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 2
LEN
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 2
LEN
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |