Avranches vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GDB
0 - 0
AVR
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AVR
3 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 3
AVR
30%
26%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AVR
3 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
AVR
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LES
4 - 0
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VCH
1 - 1
LES
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LES
1 - 0
TRE
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
LES
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LES
5 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |