Avranches vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SED
0 - 0
AVR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
LES
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
BEZ
3 - 0
AVR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 1
WYC
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
AVR
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 2
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
FRE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 1
NIC
18%
21%
61%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
FRE
41%
30%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |