Avranches vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 3
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PON
3 - 2
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
AVR
3 - 0
GDB
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
AVR
4 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 1
AVR
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FON
0 - 2
LES
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
FON
0 - 5
TRO
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FON
0 - 2
SAU
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
FON
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STA
0 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |