Avranches vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
RED
2 - 0
AVR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
BEZ
45%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
QUE
0 - 1
AVR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 0
CON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
STL
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
DUN
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
4 - 1
PAU
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |