Avranches vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
BEZ
2 - 3
AVR
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 0
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 1
AVR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
SED
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 4
DUN
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
USB
0 - 1
DUN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
QUE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |