Avranches vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
RED
2 - 1
AVR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 2
AMI
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
AVR
2 - 1
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
LPS
1 - 1
AVR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 2
STR
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
LPS
4 - 2
DUN
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 0
CAB
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 1
DUN
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |