Avranches vs Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
AVR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 2
LES
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
LYO
2 - 2
AVR
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 1
PAU
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SPI
0 - 1
AVR
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AOR
1 - 4
DRA
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 2
DRA
20%
18%
61%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 4
DRA
17%
17%
66%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TEF
5 - 3
DRA
61%
17%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
RON
1 - 2
DRA
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |