Avranches vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AVR
5 - 4
LHA
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BEZ
2 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 2
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LYO
1 - 4
AVR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
AVR
1 - 0
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 0
CON
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
RED
1 - 2
CON
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
BEZ
37%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
QUE
0 - 1
CON
59%
22%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
LYO
15%
24%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |