Avranches vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
MGG
2 - 1
AVR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
AVR
5 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
AVR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
LYO
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
USB
1 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
CHA
25%
29%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
QUE
3 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
MGG
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
ROD
2 - 1
CON
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |