Avranches vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
USB
3 - 1
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 1
LPV
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
AVR
2 - 0
GAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
LUS
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
STL
3 - 0
AVR
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
3 - 0
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 2
STL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 2
CHO
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 4
DUN
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |