Avranches vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 0
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
STL
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 0
AVR
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
BOU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
USB
4 - 0
AVR
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHA
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
MGG
1 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
4 - 1
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 0
CHO
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |