Avranches vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
STA
0 - 1
AVR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
AVR
3 - 1
LEH
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 3
AVR
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
AVR
1 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
AVR
4 - 2
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
LPS
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CAE
3 - 1
VCH
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ORL
2 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |