Avranches vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LEH
1 - 0
AVR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVR
3 - 1
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 4
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AVR
3 - 0
ANG
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AVR
2 - 0
USS
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
6 - 1
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FCR
1 - 1
CAE
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 1
ORL
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |