Avranches vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 2
AVR
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
AVR
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 3
USB
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVR
9 - 0
DRA
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
AVR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
4 - 0
LUS
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 2
CON
51%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
CAB
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
USB
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
CAB
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |