Avranches vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
AVR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 1
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 3
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
USB
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 0
AVR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
LPS
1 - 0
CAB
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
COL
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 2
BOU
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |