Avranches U19 vs Stade Brestois U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
34
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
AVR
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
AVR
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STA
0 - 1
GUI
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 2
LAV
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
PSV
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 1
STA
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | -1 |