Avranches U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
40
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
AVR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 3
AVR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
TOU
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
GUI
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
AVR
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
LOR
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
LAV
58%
19%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SRS
0 - 2
LOR
10%
15%
76%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 2
REN
37%
22%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |