Avranches U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
43
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
AVR
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
4 - 1
LAV
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AVR
2 - 2
STA
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
AVR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
GUI
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOU
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
BER
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 0
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
VER
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
GUI
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |