Avranches U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
3º
36
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
LAV
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VER
0 - 4
AVR
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
LMA
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
AVR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 0
ANG
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 0
GUI
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
NIO
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LVF
5 - 5
GUI
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
REN
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |