Avranches U19 vs Girondins Bordeaux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
0
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 3
AVR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
TOU
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
GUI
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
AVR
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
4 - 1
LAV
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 1
ANG
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
4 - 0
BOR
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 0
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
BOR
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |