Avranches U19 vs Bergerac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+461%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
8º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 1
REN
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 1
AVR
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 2
NAN
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LAV
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
REN
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | +7 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCB
3 - 0
BER
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |