Avranches U17 vs Lorient U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
13º
12º
45
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
7 - 2
AVR
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 3
BRE
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VER
1 - 0
AVR
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 3
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
AVR
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 2
NAN
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 2
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHO
6 - 1
LOR
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
7 - 2
STR
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |